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NMU hockey team CCHA playoff scenarios

February 25, 2013 - Matt Wellens

CCHA Standings

Seed Team Points
1. Miami 56
2. W. Michigan 51
3. Notre Dame 50
4. Ferris St. 42
5. Ohio St. 42
6. Alaska 40
7. Bowling Green St. 34
8. Lake Superior St. 32
9. Michigan 31
10. N. Michigan 29
11. Michigan St. 25

 

MARQUETTE — The Northern Michigan University hockey team could have put itself in the driver’s seat this week against Lake Superior State at the Berry Events Center for a home-ice first-round CCHA playoff series with a victory over Bowling Green State, but instead the Wildcats lost and now need a lot of help to prevent themselves from hitting the road.

The ’Cats will need to jump at least two teams in the CCHA standings this weekend to secure a home playoff series.

NMU can still finish as high as seventh in the CCHA and as low as last place in the league. According to Playoffstatus.com, Northern has a 15 percent chance of jumping Michigan, LSSU and BSGU; a 20 percent chance of jumping two teams to finish eighth and get home ice; an 18 percent chance of finishing ninth; a 44 percent chance of finishing in 10th and a 2 percent chance of finishing last in the league.

So let’s put those percentages into real-word terms. Below is a breakdown of what Northern needs to do to pass LSSU, pass Michigan and pass BGSU.

 

For NMU to pass No. 7 BGSU in the CCHA standings:

— NMU must get two regulation or overtime wins at home over LSSU AND BGSU must lose twice in regulation or overtime at Notre Dame.

 

For NMU to pass No. 8 LSSU in the CCHA standings:

— NMU must get two wins at home over LSSU and one of those wins may come in a shootout.

 

For NMU to pass No. 9 Michigan in the CCHA standings:

— NMU must get at least three league points via one overtime or regulation win over LSSU OR via a shootout win and shootout loss IF Michigan loses twice in regulation or overtime at home to Ferris State for 0 league points.

— NMU must get at least four league points at home against LSSU via a regulation or overtime win and shootout loss OR via two shootout wins IF Michigan gets one or 0 league points at home against Ferris State.*

— NMU must get two wins at home over LSSU, and one of those wins may come in a shootout, IF Michigan gets two or less points at home against Ferris State.**

— NMU must get two regulation or overtime wins at home over LSSU IF Michigan gets three or less points at home against Ferris State.***

 

For No. 11 Michigan State to pass NMU in the CCHA standings:

— State must get two wins at home against Western Michigan in regulation or overtime IF NMU finishes with two league points. **

— State must get two wins at home over LSSU, and one of those wins may come in a shootout, IF NMU finishes with one league point. *

— State must get at least four league points at home against Western Michigan via a regulation or overtime win and shootout loss OR via two shootout wins IF NMU loses twice in regulation or overtime against LSSU.

 

* — To get one league point in a weekend, a team must lose once in regulation or overtime and once in a shootout.

** — To get two league points in a weekend, a team can either lose once in regulation and win once in a shootout OR lose twice in a shootout.

*** — To get three league points in a weekend, a team can either win once in regulation or overtime and lose once in overtime and regulation OR win once in a shootout and lose once in a shootout.

 
 

 

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Blog Photos

2013 CCHA Playoffs

First-round, best-of-three series, March 8-10

Second-round, best-of-three series, March 15-17

CCHA semifinal, March 23

CCHA Championship, March 24